Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 9:30 AM EST
12:00 PM EST. There are some analysts that have stated that #3 Oklahoma is a serious threat to both Clemson and Alabama, the two teams ranked above them in the polls. ‘Bama and Clemson are possible contestants the Sooners can encounter if they qualify for the College Football Playoff, which many proclaim is a strong possibility. We are not here to argue whether that is the case or not but all that talk does is further inflate the stock of OU, which in turn means one will pay a hefty price to back them here. As a whole, the Sooners are one of college football’s titans. A team with a renowned reputation for supremacy. Very simply, they are one of the most prestigious institutions in the game. In the grand scheme of their Big 12 history against Iowa State, the Sooners have lost just five matches dating back to 1928. The last time OU was beat in Norman by ISU was in 1990. Furthermore, the Sooners have also won the last 18 in a row against Iowa State. All of these anecdotes are irrelevant to this game, but they nevertheless create a psychological perception that once again nudges this market to spot the big number.
Additionally, Iowa State comes in off a 10-point loss when they hosted Texas last Thursday in a primetime contest many viewed across the country. Though this was the same team that took Iowa to overtime in the Battle of the Cy-Hawk Trophy, Iowa State appears to many as a typical Iowa State that Oklahoma has beat up on for nearly two decades now. With Oklahoma well-rested off a bye, the Sooners are positioned to have their way with the Cyclones yet again in the 2017 edition of their annual contest. However, we’re betting that ISU comes in under the number.
It just so happens that the Sooners will meet with the Texas Longhorns next Saturday in Dallas and one can’t help but wonder if they will be caught looking ahead. The Red River Rivalry game is one that has been a source of trouble for the Sooners, as of late. In 2015, Oklahoma was upset by Texas as an 18-point choice. In 2016, Oklahoma won the feud by a score of 45-40 but they had a lot of trouble putting Bevo away, even when they were yet another double-digit favorite at the close. With the Red River Rivalry game being such a pivotal one for OU’s campaign for a Big 12 title retention and College Football Playoff berth, it is very possible that coach Lincoln Riley will not want to show Texas too much on tape nor expose his starters to injuries if this one is in the bag early. Contrary to what some may believe, Iowa State is a much-improved football team compared to years’ past and their offense can certainly generate a backdoor cover in junk time, if need be. We’re not counting on a backdoor cover, we’re merely pointing out that it exists. Oklahoma has barely broken a sweat against ISU in the past, which is the real key here. The Sooners are likely going to save that sweat for Texas next week.
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#397 Iowa State +31 -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)