Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 9:30 AM EST
7:00 PM EST. The Wildcats are an afterthought in this market. Two weeks ago, K-State lost 14-7 to a Vanderbilt team that has been absolutely destroyed in back-to-back weeks. KSU followed that up with a 33-20 victory over Baylor last week but that holds no weight in this market because the Bears are being billed as a complete mess this season not to mention the biggest disappointment among Power-5 schools. The Wildcats other two victories were against Central Arkansas and Charlotte. K-State is an under the radar team this year that has not been featured, noticed or watched while the Longhorns are one of the most talked about programs in America. The media is keeping a close eye on the Longhorns. The last time we saw Texas, they won on National TV against Iowa State and covered. Two weeks ago, as a 24-point pooch at USC, Texas nearly pulled off the upset of the year before they lost by three lousy points.
The Longhorns' showing in the Coliseum will impress some enough to dismiss the ugly opening loss to Maryland as an anomaly and consider them a top-25 team. Whether you're bullish or bearish on Texas' long-term prospects under Tom Herman, remind yourself that this is still a major overhaul of both roster and culture. There will be some more rough moments in 2017 for a squad that lacks an offensive identity, is still learning how to prepare, has yet to become player-led rather than coach-led, and lacks maturity when it comes to attention to detail and avoiding unforced errors. Selling Texas is more of a short-term move. The Longhorns had an open date to marinate in their moral victory at USC but the following four-game stretch versus Iowa State, Kansas State and both Oklahoma schools is a tough one given where the program is in its development. One win in those four games seems more likely than two and Texas already has that win. K-State outright gets this call but we’ll scoop up the sweet points. You should too.
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#407 Kansas State +6½ -103 (Risking 2.06 units - To Win: 2.00)