Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:15 AM EST
3:30 PM EST. It's always critical to determine why the games play out the way they do after the fact, and whether the outcome reveals more strength in the victor or weakness in the vanquished. Georgia logged a massive win last week over Mississippi State the week after Mississippi State whacked LSU. That Georgia/MSU game last week was broken down a million ways and was tabbed as one of the marquee matchups of the day. State was never in it, as Georgia rolled them from start to finish to move well up the rankings and into the conversation as a playoff contender. You will now pay extra points to get behind the Dawgs at Rocky Top in this one.
We always want to make identification of teams’ coming off a lopsided win against a good opponent because they are almost always overvalued the next time out. We touched on Conquering Heroes' syndrome in the past, pointing out Alabama's miserable track record in Week 2 games immediately following a marquee win in one of the season's big opening week neutral-site clashes. Bama never threatened to cover a big number against Fresno State, and Michigan fell victim to the same issue, turning in a lackluster performance as a heavy favorite the week after its demolition of Florida. Georgia is a great candidate to follow suit this week, coming off an emotional win and spotting nearly double digits to a team that can win outright over just about anyone and that includes the Bulldogs. Our outlook on Kirby Smart's Georgia program is and has been one of general optimism, but the Dawgs look to be a year or two of quarterback development, offensive line recruiting and general depth-building away from becoming a legitimate top 10 team. While the Dawgs are a great program that has gotten off to a great start, they may be the most overvalued team on today’s card.
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#180 TENNESSEE +9 -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)