Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:15 AM EST
10:30 PM EST. In finding value in the numbers, certain teams’ stock is so low that they bode exceptional value. Such is the case regarding San Jose State. As a whole, the Spartans are a tough sale. San Jose is known as a cupcake and they have performed like one so far in 2017. The Spartans have yet to win a game against an FBS opponent and their four losses this year are difficult to stomach. Currently, the Spartans are riding a three-game losing streak and have given up 54 points or more in each of their three defeats. In their most recent outing, Utah State would come in as a two-point choice and hammer SJSU 61-10 on the Spartans’ own field. San Jose’s stock couldn’t be much lower, thus creating this opportunity. Make no mistake that San Jose State is being offered an inflated price here and UNLV is not good enough to be spotting inflated prices.
We would be remiss to conjure up what was a historical anecdote in 2017 and the Rebels were a part of it. UNLV is the owner of the biggest upset in college football history at an against-the-spread level. The Rebels were not the authors of this triumphant tale, they were the subject of it. As a 45-point home choice in Week 1, the Rebels would fall to the Howard Bison, a FCS team by a score of 43-40. Since this catastrophic defeat, UNLV would stage a rout of visiting Idaho when they squashed the Vandals 44-16 in their follow-up. The Rebels would get a bye and then head to The Horseshoe and cover a 40½ -point spread in a 54-21 loss against Ohio State. Seemingly all has been forgotten about the Howard debacle but this is another good spot to fade the Rebels.
You see, UNLV was on a major stage last week in Ohio State so many people were able to get a glimpse of them when they covered and put up 21 points in the process. The week prior, UNLV whacked Idaho 44-16 and easily covered that one too. That’s two straight covers for the Rebels while SJSU has lost its last three by scores of 56-0, 54-16. and 61-10 respectively. That’s a combined 171-26, which is something that resonated loudly in this market when UNLV opened as a 9½-point favorite and was subsequently bet up to this current price. Don’t get caught up in fading the Spartans here because if you do, you’re playing them at a bad number. We’ll play them at a very good number and watch them respond after three humiliating losses against a very beatable team host.
Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
#173 San Jose St +14½ +102 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)