Today's Free Picks for
Posted Friday at 1:10 PM EST
10:30 PM EST. Utah is 3-0 as they get set to fire up their Pac-12 schedule but the Utes are a great example of how college win/loss records can be very deceiving. Through three games, Utah has played nobody of substance, including in-state rival BYU. They have double-digit wins over both San Jose State and North Dakota, both of which are a notch above Division II. In their only game where they were not favored by 20 or more, the Utes struggled against BYU barely covering as -4½ point road chalk. BYU is putrid and cannot score, posting just 40 points in four games with 20 or those coming against Portland State as a -35 point favorite. The combined record of Utah's cupcake opponents is 3-8 and the three wins of said opponents came against some of the worst teams in the country. Now the Utes come in ranked #23 in the country. You will always pay a price to get behind ranked versus unranked and that applies here as well. Utah is not close to being one of the top 23 teams in America.
Arizona, on the other hand, is 2-1 having lost to Houston 19-16 in Week 2 as a one-point pooch. In their other two games, the Wildcats also played a pair of cupcakes but they pasted both Texas-El Paso and Northern Arizona by 47 and 38 points respectively. The Arizona offense put up over 60 points in both of those games as they easily covered the 25 and 26 points lines. The defensive battle with Houston was a surprise, as the total in that game was 67, but the Wildcats' offense still had a good day with 371 yards in the air and another 152 on the ground, despite not putting a bunch of points on the board. That loss to Houston and the fact it came at home has lowered 'Zona's value in the market, which we’ll attempt to take advantage of. Entering this game as a ranked team instantly gives credibility to the Utes in the market but that superficial number is just that. The Utes are not that good and certianly not worthy of this billing on the road.
Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
ARIZONA +3½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)