Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:15 AM EST
12:00 PM EST. The stock on the Bruins is soaring after they managed to make an example out of Hawaii when the Rainbow Warriors visited Pasadena last Saturday. UCLA cruised past the Warriors by a score of 56-23 but the game was never close from the get-go. Many questions circulated around whether or not UCLA’s historic comeback against Texas A&M in Week 1 was a fluke. With UCLA having its way, pundits and critics seemed to have been silenced. Now, the Bruins head into what will likely be a shootout against a Memphis team whose stock has gone in the other direction.
Memphis has not played in two weeks due to a postponement in their meeting with Central Florida in Orlando, due to Hurricane Irma. Thus, the Tigers enter off a very suspect win against Louisiana Monroe in their season opener, two weeks ago at the Liberty Bowl. As a 27½-point choice, the Tigers would squeak by the Warhawks by a final score of 37-29. The numbers on both sides of the ball were startling. Highly-touted quarterback Riley Ferguson completed just 40% of his passes for a total of just 97 passing yards. Furthermore, Ferguson failed to toss a touchdown but managed to get picked off once. To further complement the rust that the Tigers had to shake off, the Memphis defense surrendered 425 yards of total offense to a team regarded as one of the most maligned in all of college football. At the end of the day, Memphis looked read bad while UCLA is looking pretty sweet.
This scenario creates a situation we look to identify and locate. Buying low and selling high is a strategy we promote and abide by. With a tremendous amount of confidence vested in the Bruins coupled with a lack of faith in the Tigers, we have an opportunity here. This market could have been shaped entirely differently had the UCF affair not be interrupted due to the onslaught of Irma. Heading into the re-scheduled contest, the Golden Knights were a savory selection by many as a home favorite. Had Memphis pulled off an upset, the discussion around this week’s game may have been entirely different. The Tigers would have been classed once again as a team prognosticated to be a dark horse to win the American Athletic Conference thanks to a huge win against an up-and-coming football team. Now, Memphis has the chance to play this role with the Bruins instead. We will attack this market while a poor perception still hovers above the Tigers. This small line is screaming at us that the Tigers will win outright, which is exactly how we’ll play it.
Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
#138 MEMPHIS +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)