Bowling Green @ MEMPHIS
#385 Bowling Green +17 -102
 BEST LINES: Pinnacle +17 -102 Bet365 +17 -110 SportsInteraction +17 -110 5DIMES +17 -105

Posted at 8:50 AM EST

8:00 PM EST. Stock in Bowling Green is at a low after they were polished off at home against Middle Tennessee State 41-21 last week. The Falcons at 1-2 may seem as an inferior invader to host Memphis, who remains undefeated at 2-0. Once again market perception is the weighing factor here. Bowling Green on paper has yielded some abysmal results as of late after winning the MAC in 2015. They were obliterated in their bowl game against Georgia Southern 58-27 and followed this up with a season opening debacle at Ohio State, where the Bucks would run buckshot on the Falcons 77-10. Bowling Green would respond with a nail-biter win against North Dakota and then once again follow this up by being embarrassed by the aforementioned Blue Raiders. However, there was a reason we were so gung-ho on the Blue Raiders to win the C-USA, as they return a talented crop of players led by a proficient quarterback in Brent Stockstill. The same cannot be said for Memphis at this point.

Memphis, though they are undefeated, no longer have Coach Justin Fuente running the show and they no longer have the services of NFL first-round draft pick Paxton Lynch at quarterback either. The Tigers are in a transitional period under new leadership and they have been the benefactors of facing inferior opponents up to this point.  Beating down Southeast Missouri State or Kansas is not enough to sell us on the Tigers. When looking back at previous results, whenever Memphis met a team that could outgun them on offense or play solid defense against them, they faltered. Bowling Green would have to be chalked as the former even if the Tigers edged them out 44-41 in 2015. While the Tigers may have defeated the Falcons in 2015, they could never put Bowling Green away because their defense was far too generous to Bowling Green’s upstart offense. Fast forward to a year later and now this same football team is tasked with spotting almost two touchdowns more than a year ago. Bowling Green’s loss to Middle Tennessee State combined with Memphis’ two victories are fantastic misnomers and this venue will serve as a great stage to expose these truths. Bowling Green is getting massively inflated points and therefore must be played today. 

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Our Pick

#385 Bowling Green +17 -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)