Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 12:35 PM EST.
Big Ten Tournament – Madison Square Gardens – New York, New York.
2:30 PM EST. The Cornhuskers finished tied for fourth in the Big Ten with the Wolverines, but won the coveted double-bye after besting Michigan 72-52 in the only meeting between these two schools this season. That double-digit win is going to turn some heads in the market, but do not be fooled. We can't help but think that that lone lopsided result is having a major influence on today's contest. That win over the Wolverines was Nebraska's best by far this season, as the rest of its conference wins came over schools that did not finish Big Ten play with a winning record. The Cornhuskers won eight of their last nine games against those lesser programs, but did not do it in impressive fashion. Nebraska has only been able to muster an average of 69 points per game over its last five contests. The 'Huskers also played a weak non-conference schedule that ranked 271st in the nation as per KenPom.
We questioned Michigan's motivation yesterday, and it was a rough day at the office for them, as they could not find their shooting touch, especially from behind the arc. Michigan won but did not cover against Iowa, but the fact it got a positive result despite that poor performance has peaked our interest big time. Momentum is a funny thing. Remember last year's Miracle Michigan team that ran the table in this tournament on its way to an appearance in the NCAA's? While all things are not equal, getting a win under its belt might be enough to spark another run here. The Wolverines were a popular play in the market yesterday, but after the Hawkeyes pushed them to overtime, it might be difficult to come back on them today.
Michigan is short priced here after being a five-point fav in Lincoln. Result aside, they are spotting less here with a favorable crowd than they did they did in Nebraska. That’s value. It's unlikely the Wolverines are as awful today as they were yesterday, which is bad news for the 'Huskers. That 20-point beat down earlier this season only gives the Wolverines more motivation. Eat these points with confidence.
Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
#849 Michigan -4 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)