Nevada @ UTAH STATE
#588 UTAH STATE +205 over Nevada

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Posted at 11:30 AM EST.

6:00 PM EST. #24 Nevada is tops in the Mountain West and it has a two-game lead over its closest conference rivals. While there might not seem to be much room for error the rest of the way, the only team that can realistically catch the Wolfpack is Boise State, and Nevada dispatched of the Broncos 77-72 on the road in Idaho last time out. The Wolfpack are now 2-0 against the Broncos this season, which make the gap between those two teams wider than it looks on paper. With that victory, Nevada can now breathe a little before the Mountain West tournament, which will once against be held in its home state. Nevada is currently a #8 seed in CBS's Bracketology breakdown, and its ticket to the dance is in the mail regardless of what happens the rest of the way. Asking the Wolfpack to bring the heat in what is essentially a meaningless road game is a tall order.

The Aggies aren't going to bust your bracket this season, but they have relished in the role of spoiler as of late. Utah State made life very difficult for Boise State in a 71-65 victory in its last home game in Logan. The Aggies have proven to be a tough out at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum where they are 10-3 this season. When you play in the Mountain West, you don't often get a chance to get a signature top-25 win, but with the Wolfpack sneaking into the polls late in the season, the Aggies can do just that. This is the biggest game Utah State will play until the conference tournament by a country mile. At 7-7, the Aggies are just 1½-games backs of UNLV and Fresno State, who are tied for third place. The top four teams in the Mountain West get a bye in the first round, so there is still plenty for the Aggies to play for the rest of the way. This is a great time of year for home dogs to win outright against teams with bigger fish to fry and this one fits the bill.

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Our Pick

#588 UTAH STATE +205 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.10)