Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:00 AM EST.
2:00 PM EST. The Raiders of Wright State sit alone atop the Horizon League after a 32-point beatdown of Detroit Mercy last time out. That victory was the Raiders 16th in 19 attempts, and while that run looks impressive on paper, they've done it against some weak competition. Wright State has played just the 225th most difficult schedule in the country.
The Grizzlies are out for blood this weekend, as they try to return the favor to a pair of schools that handed them back-to-back home losses to start 2018. Phase one of the plan was executed excellently at Northern Kentucky in an 83-70 win. While the "revenge" angle is one we'll leave to the pick sellers and pundits, we cannot ignore head coach Greg Kampe's ability to game plan and make adjustments. Over the last four seasons, Kampe is 8-1 in return matches against conference opponents that had previously defeated him.
This might look like a short price on a first-place team playing on its home floor, but do not be fooled by Wright State's record or its standing. The Raiders feasted on cupcakes during non-conference play, while the Grizz played Power Five schools like Syracuse, Kansas and Michigan State. While Oakland has won five straight games, all the market sees is a school that has covered just two of its last eight contests. This is the shortest line oddsmakers have posted between these two teams in the last 10 meetings. The Grizzlies have been favored in every one of those games and they should spotting points again tonight. That we can back the superior squad here and not pay a premium is a bet we'll make every time. Oakland outright is the call.
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#825 Oakland -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)