SMU @ UCONN
#532 UCONN +5½ -106 over SMU
BEST LINES: Pinnacle +5½ -106 Bet365 +5½ -110 SportsInteraction +5½ -110 WilliamHill +5½ -110
 
Posted at 11:45 AM EST 

12:00 PM EST. The Mustangs are one of the hottest teams in the country with 10 straight win to go along with a 21st place ranking in the polls. SMU is a lock for the Main Event but they have some unfinished business to attend to first. The Mustangs are currently one game ahead of Cincinnati in the win column for first place in the AAC and they haven’t lost since a 66-64 defeat at Cincinnati on Jan. 12. In the rematch game against the Bearcats 13 days ago, SMU won 60-51. However, the Mustangs trailed by nine points with 10 minutes remaining and Cinci went ice cold. It appeared as though the Bearcats were going to beat them again, this time by double-digits but for the final 10 minutes they simply couldn’t knock down a shot. That was SMU’s best win of the year because a close looks shows that it has played mostly cupcakes and that Cincinnati (twice) is the only ranked team they have played all year. With a 24-4 record and that aforementioned 10 game winning streak, SMU’s résumé looks pretty sweet and now the market will pay inflated points to back them here. This is also a game the Mustangs could easily overlook, as they beat UConn by 20 earlier in the year and they’ll close out their regular season with two home games against Tulsa and Memphis on Thursday and next Saturday respectively.

 

With just one week left in the regular season, this is the time of year that motivation or lack thereof comes into question. That said, UConn has plenty of motivation, as it is vying for a first-round bye in the AAC Tournament from March 9-12 in Hartford. That’s significant because with a 14-13 overall record and a 9-6 conference mark, the Huskies only ticket to the Big Dance will come via a Conference Tournament win and don’t think it can’t happen because it can. UConn is hot and they’re good too. The Huskies have won seven of their past nine games with four players averaging double-figures over that span. The Huskies also have a +9.6 scoring and +2.2 rebounding margin since Feb. 8. The Huskies played a much tougher out-of-conference schedule than SMU, which included games against Oregon, Syracuse and Ohio State. Kevin Ollie is one of the best prepped coaches in the country and this is the time of year that UConn often thrives. We’re calling the outright upset but the true value is in the inflated points we’re being 

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Our Pick

#532 UCONN +5½ -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)