Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 12:15 PM EST.
8:40 PM EST. Colorado is on the verge of making the playoffs and now it is evenly priced in San Diego, which is an angle we like to attack. While most of the market will use the “must win” angle for getting the behind the Rocks, we prefer the spoiler role team, as they’re motivated relaxed and very dangerous.
Aside from that, Jhoulys Chacin has been tremendous at Petco with a 1.91 ERA and a .182 oppBA over 15 starts. Chacin can provide some sneaky value if you use him judiciously. He's one of the NL's better starters against right-handed batters with 9.1 K’s/9 1.9 BB’s/9 and a 53% groundball rate. Those skills have helped him produce a 2.72 ERA and 0.99 WHIP against them. Chacin has 23 K’s over his past 26 frames and he figures to be extra jacked up here to make life miserable for his former team.
Chad Bettis has made just seven starts this year. Last year he made 32 starts and racked up 17 victories. Bettis is Exhibit A of why W-L record isn't an accurate barometer of value. Bettis got more run support last year than any starting pitcher not named Arrieta. While his skill foundation was trending slightly in the right direction, his underlying numbers tells us he’s still subpar. Bettis’ dominant starts/disaster starts splits reveal his blowup risk, especially given his gopheritis v righties. This year, Bettis has 23 K’s in 35 innings to go along with a 6.23 ERA and 5.33 xERA. Frankly, with so much time missed, it’s hard to get a read on how strong he’s feeling or if the small sample size this year is as bad as it appears. If you are thinking of speculating on Bettis, we’re suggesting you speculate elsewhere.
Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
SAN DIEGO -107 (Risking 2.14 units - To Win: 2.00)