Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:10 AM EST.
9:10 PM EST. Andrew Albers comes in with a 3-1 record and 3.43 ERA after four starts while Andrew Heaney comes in with a 1-1 record and 6.98 ERA after the same four starts. That has the Mariners wrongly favored here so allow us to bring you up to date on the plight of Andrew Albers.
Back in early August, the two busiest General Managers in the game got together and swung another deal, sending Andrew Albers to the Mariners. The Atlanta Braves have made a lot of trade deals under John Coppolella’s guidance, but even he can’t keep up with the Mariners’ Jerry Dipoto. In a move that kind of resembles a desperation play from a competitive team that has just about spent their farm system, Seattle acquired AAA journeyman Andrew Albers from the Gwinnett Braves. Prior to his four starts with the M’s, Albers posted a 4.41 ERA in 80 big-league innings (5.98 xERA), with a fastball that barely reaches the upper 80s. He’s a 31-year-old lefty that has been bouncing around for years. His career swing and miss rate is 6%. This year, it’s 5%. His batted ball profile of 37% grounders, 29% line-drives and 35% fly-balls reveals he’s likely to give up a home-run, a rope to the gap or a lined shot down the line as he is of getting an out, be it fly-ball or otherwise. Albers shiny ERA is all fool’s gold while Heaney’s 6.98 ERA will have most backing off.
By contrast, Andrew Heaney was a top prospect at one time but health problems have been holding him back. Last year, year, Heaney’s season ended before it even started as a flexor strain gave way to TJS after 3 months of rehab didn't work. With surgery in early July, it was believed he could lose his 2017 as well but here we are in September and Heaney is ahead of schedule, which shows his determination. The once-promising prospect is now healthy and looking good. Heaney has 24 K’s in 19 frames with an outstanding 14% swing and miss rate. His xERA is 4.15, which is another good sign after just four starts. At the end of the day, we have a top prospect with determination and skills working for us against a career stiff that has been riding buses for 10 years and has no business being favored.
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L.A. Angels +102 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)