Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:15 AM EST
10:10 PM EST. The Giants shut out the Padres last night and so we’re going to come right back on them again tonight, as this is a good matchup for Matt Moore against the Padres hitters and a bad matchup for San Diego’s tiring starter, Luis Perdomo against the Giants’ bats.
Matt Moore is pitching as well now as at any point in time this season, as he has a 19/6 K/BB over his last three starts. Moore also has 30 K’s over his last 31 frames to go along with a 3.73 xERA. He’ll now face a struggling Padres’ nine that scuffles against left-handed pitching with a .222 BA and .658 OPS.
Luis Perdomo had made three starts versus the Giants this season with two of those resulting in disasters. He has been hit hard in four of his last five starts with a 38% hard-hit ball % over that span. Perdomo he has not been good at Petco either, going 4-3 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Perdomo is showing all the signs of fatigue. He’s walking more batters, striking out less with both his first-pitch strike rate and swinging strikes being in rapid decline. Matt Moore holds some sneaky value here and we’re on it.
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San Francisco +107 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.14)