BEST LINES: Pinnacle +133 Bet365 +130 SportsInteraction +135 5DIMES +130

Posted at 10:00 AM EST.

7:10 PM EST. The Padres traded for Travis Wood but that was a move for the future and not for the present. The benefit for San Diego was that they unloaded Trevor Cahill and his contract and they were able to snag Matt Strahm from the Royals, which was the key cog in the trade. The Padres immediately assigned swingman Wood to the minors but swiftly recalled him, where he’s made two starts, both against the Pirates. Wood struck out 12 Pirates (a team that does not strike out often) over 11 frames. He now has a BB/K split of 4/17 over his last 21 innings. Wood brings risk for sure but this bet is more about fading the Reds against a left-handed starter because in 27 games against left-handed starters, Cinci has six wins, which is by far the worst winning percentage in the majors against southpaws. That alone makes this bet a worthy one but there’s more. Padres manager, Andy Green has his team playing winning baseball. The Papas have won 10 of their past 17 games. Hiring a manager for his managerial profile, instead of for his name value as a former player, is an increasingly rare bit of common-sense genius. In San Diego’s case, it's helped them establish an identity and put together some good runs. The Padres are live again and it’s worth repeating that Cinci is 6-21 against southpaws.  

Asher Wojciechowski’s 28%/55% groundball/fly-ball split is a massive risk at this park. Aside from that, Wojciechowski only has 39 innings to his credit this year and most of those have been of the unimpressive quality. Wojciechowski has made just five starts this year and he’s been a big underdog in the +135 to +201 range in four of those five starts. He now goes from that to a significant favorite here all because it’s against the perceived weak Padres. Wojciechowski has upside but what he doesn’t have is the pedigree or results to be prioced in this range at this point in his career while pitching for the win-starved Reds. It’s all about playing value and we trust we found some here.

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