Washington @ MIAMI
MIAMI +102 over Washington

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +102 Bet365 +100 SportsInteraction +105 5DIMES +100

Posted at 12:45 PM EST. 

7:10 PM EST. The market loves the Nationals while the Marlins are perceived as a nothing more than what they are, that being a .500 team. Vance Worley is a starter that this market wants no part of and we can understand why. Worley has been posting ugly numbers for years and now he’ll face the ferocious bats of one of the league’s most popular teams. This now falls into the category of” be very careful if you were thinking Nats” because the price is so cheap.

A.J Cole’s lone start this year came way back in April and on paper it was a good one, as he allowed just one earned run in six innings against the Phillies. However, the Nats rotation was healthy at that time so Cole was sent back down to Syracuse of the International League. He’s made 16 starts this year for Syracuse where he posted an ERA of 5.66 over 82 innings. In those 82 frames, Cole was tagged for 110 hits for a BAA of .325. His BB/K split of 31/63 was also weak. Cole has been struggling in the minors for years. Over his past 247 minor-league innings he’s been tagged with a .463 SLG%. He started 10 games at this level over the past three seasons and his xERA in the majors over that time was 5.88. Against the Phillies back in that aforementioned start in May, Cole walked four batters while striking out just two with a swinging strike rate of 6%. Cole’s line-drive rate between the minors and majors has always been high, which means when they hit 'em, they tend to hit 'em far. On paper, the Nats may appear cheap here but Cole is not major-league ready and may never be. A.J. Cole is likely to get whacked here. The line says so.

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Our Pick

MIAMI +102 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)

Arizona -101 over St. Louis