BEST LINES: Pinnacle +166 Bet365 +165 SportsInteraction +170 5DIMES +165

Posted at 12:30 PM EST. 

7:10 PM EST. Tim Adleman (RHP) doesn't have much of a pedigree as a former Indy leaguer so his current 4.96 ERA will keep many bettors away. That said, Adleman's underlying skills have been pretty attractive: 8.6 K’s/9, 3.2 BB’s/9 and a 3.89 xERA, He's generating whiffs (12% swing and miss rate) and he has been especially effective against righties. The Indians are loaded with switch hitters (five in lineup) but most of them are natural left-handed batters with the exception of Francisco Lindor. Anyway, there is profit potential in Adleman’s arm and we’ll gladly put that to the test here.

Josh Tomlin has been going out there every five days for years. He’s 32 years old and has nearly 800 major-league innings under his belt. His strong first half last year was followed by a second half collapse. This year, Tomlin has not had a very good first half with a 5.74 ERA and a 4.94 xERA. His xERA shows skills are virtually unchanged. Tomlin has one of the league’s-best control-rate working for him but it’s not enough to slow down the HR barrage. With velocity, swing and miss rate, xERA and K-rate headed in the wrong direction, he's playing with fire and so would you be if you spotted this price with him. The Indians stock is high again after a tremendous weekend but this team loses regularly to weak pitchers, which makes us sellers again. Josh Tomlin is not good enough to be priced in this range.

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks