San Diego @ SAN FRANCISCO
San Diego +124 over SAN FRANCISCO

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +124 Bet365 +120 SportsInteraction +120 5DIMES +120

Posted at 10:50 AM EST. 

4:05 PM EST. The Padres have taken the first two games of this series and there’s no reason they can’t keep it going here. They fell behind 4-0 last night in the first inning, blew a three run lead in the ninth and then scored three times in extra winnings to finally win it, 12-9. The Madison Bumgarner dirt bike accident sort of captures the Giants season in a single frame. Johnny Cueto has gone off the rails. Brandon Crawford hasn't been himself. The general vibe around the Giants is that it might be time to break up the band—or at least to let that band be broken up naturally. It appears as though the entire group is waiting for something to happen at the deadline and now the Giants will send the struggling Matt Moore to the mound.

In 105 innings, Moore has a weak BB/K split of 42/87. His 5.87 ERA is right in line with his 5.41 xERA. Hitters are making more contact than ever against the Giants’ southpaw, which has led to unsightly rate stats and a seemingly unsustainable .347 BABIP. His 36%/23%/41% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rates reveal just how volatile Moore is and his  once mid-90s mph velocity is still missing in action. Moore’s xERA over his last four starts covering 20 innings is 6.00. He’s also walked 10 batters over that span.

Luis Perdomo not only pitches for the unpopular Padres, he owns an ugly 4.94 ERA and 1.53 WHIP after 16 starts, leaving him unowned in many fantasy leagues and also very much undervalued ion the market. However,  Perdomo owns a solid skill foundation, driven in large part by a steep groundball tilt (67%). He's dominant against righties and the Giants will send five righties and four lefties (Span, Crawford, Belt, Panik) to face him here. A tweak against righties would help Perdomo consolidate his skills into better results but this kid has filthy stuff and his 3.85 xERA and his age strongly suggest better days are ahead. Pitching for the upstart Papas, who are in a much better state of mind than the Giants, this pup is live again today.

PLEASE NOTE: More games will be posted later today, including the CFL game between Calgary and Saskatchewan.

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Our Pick

San Diego +124 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.48)

San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110