L.A. Angels @ BOSTON
L.A. Angels +147 over BOSTON

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +147 Bet365  +140 SportsInteraction +160 5DIMES +145

Posted at 11:30 AM EST.

1:10 PM EST. Parker Bridwell made his MLB starting debut last week and went five full in the Bronx and allowed two runs while striking out five Yankees. He’s now gotten his feet wet, both in relief and as a starter. The Angels have also won all three of the games he’s pitched in. Obtained for cash from Baltimore in mid-April, Bridwell was once a very promising prospect. He still has some upside due to his frame and pitch mix, but he needs to prove his command gains are for real. He was moved to the bullpen by the Orioles in the middle of 2016 and he reached the majors as a reliever, appearing in two games late in the year. His failure to find consistency with his command and control has put a damper on his prospect status but he still owns a solid-average 90-95 mph fastball and potentially plus change-up. Bridwell uses his height to throw downhill and he doesn’t allow many HR’s as a result. We’re just profiling Bridwell to give you some history on him but frankly, we don’t care who is pitching for the Halos here because this wager is all about fading Doug Fister at a ridiculous price. If Bridwell was on Boston and Fister was on the Angels, Boston would be a 2-1 favorite.

Doug Fister becomes the latest fill-in candidate for the Boston rotation. Ironically, it comes against the L.A. Angels (who released him on June 21 after his inauspicious minor league results at AAA-Salt Lake: 3 starts, 15.2 IP, 16 hits, 10 K/5 BB). It is unclear how many starts he may get for the Red Sox, with uncertainty certainly around his own performance, as well as the rates of recovery for other members of the starting pitcher corps (most recently Eduardo Rodriguez). Fister didn’t impress the Angels, who decided that the pro-rated $1.75 million would be best spent elsewhere. Doug Fister is a fill in. He last pitched at this level back in late September of last year as a member of the Astros. With Houston, he lost his last seven starts and the scores were 12-4, 10-6, 7-3, 4-3, 6-5, 10-8 and 10-4. The Astronauts saw enough of him too. At his peak, Fister relied upon pounding the strike zone, limiting walks and getting plenty of grounders. Each of those areas has progressively shown erosion, especially his control. His puny swing and miss rate/K-rate combo has long been an issue so any degradation in any other skill is magnified. Negative trends in xERA, control, command, disaster starts % and overall skills paint a bleak picture and now he’s favored like he’s Michael Pineda? As value bettors, this one must be played.

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Our Pick

L.A. Angels +147 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.94)

Washington +128 over Houston
Kansas City +122 over Baltimore
Milwaukee -1½ +144 over St. Louis
San Diego -103 over Toronto