Seattle @ TEXAS
TEXAS -1½ +100 over Seattle

BEST LINES: Pinnacle -1½ +100 Bet365 -1½ -110 SportsInteraction -1½ -110 5DIMES -1½ -110

Posted at 10:45 AM EST

3:05 PM EST. We have quite a bit to say regarding Yu Darvish but we’ll save it for another time because it’s not quite relevant yet. Darvish is more of a risk than previous years but he’s still very effective with 93 K’s in 89 innings to go along with 3.03/3.81 ERA/xERA split. Furthermore, the Mariners bullpen is a mess and overworked because the staff has allowed 50 runs against the past five games and that pen figures to be working early again here. This wager is all about fading that Mariners’ staff, which starts today with Christian Bergman.

Bergman is pitching today because the Mariners are out of options. The longer-than-expected sidelining of Iwakuma keeps Bergman in there. Meanwhile, Felix Hernandez' return has been delayed a bit after he reported feeling less than chipper after a throwing session and that, too, keeps Bergman in the rotation. In May, surprise call-up Ryan Weber had to leave his start early with shoulder discomfort so the M’s chose him before Bergman too and we can understand why. Christian Bergman’s line-drive rate of 36% is by far the worst in baseball. That’s over 41 frames. His 6% swing and miss rate, his 5.75 ERA, his weak command and low velocity all combine to make him a disaster waiting to happen every time he takes the hill. Now throw in Arlington Park against the red-hot hitting Rangers and Bergman is in line to get absolutely destroyed. 

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Our Pick

TEXAS -1½ +100 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)

Baltimore -1½ +124 over L.A. Angels
San Francisco +100 over San Diego
Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay
Washington +135 over Cincinnati
San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110