BEST LINES: Pinnacle +102 Bet365 -110 SportsInteraction -105 5DIMES +100

Posted at 12:00 PM EST.

10:10 PM EST. The Padres have been tough at home all season long while the Reds are one of the worst road teams in baseball with 10 wins in 29 games. That San Diego is a home pup here against Scott Feldman is incorrect. Feldman doesn't look like an attractive option at all. For one, he doesn't miss many bats, ranking in the bottom 10 in K-rate in both 2014 and 2015 (min. 100 IP) and bottom 20 in swing and miss rate both years. He spent the vast majority of the 2016 season working out of the bullpen, as he made just five starts on the year. He’s made 13 starts this year and has a respectable 4.09 ERA but his walk to strikeout ratio is not respectable and neither is his 7% swing and miss rate. Feldman has walked 25 while striking out 56 in 73 innings. His 32% line-drive rate is third worst in MLB. His recent history is a strong indication that regression is on the way. With all those hits and batted balls in play, Feldman can thank something for his strand %. At the end of the day, too many things have to go right for him to have success. Take your chances elsewhere.

Clayton Richard is risky too but he’s not the dog here and there are some things to like about him. For one, his 58% groundball rate is the sixth best mark in MLB. His 3.61 xERA is almost a full run lower than his actual ERA of 4.54. This is a guy that started last year with the Cubbies then seemed to hit his stride as a member of the Padres starting rotation last August by amassing a 2.41 ERA in nine starts (52.1 IP) down the stretch. He’s a pitcher that can work quick innings too because of all those groundballs. We’re not going to sugarcoat this and suggest that Richard is worth more than his numbers say. He’s always a risk because his dominant start/disaster start split over the past three years of 32%/24% says so. However, he and the Padres are still a much better option at home taking back a price than Feldman and the Reds are on the road spotting one.  

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.