Seattle @ MINNESOTA
Seattle +111 over MINNESOTA

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +111 Bet365 +100 SportsInteraction +110 5DIMES +110

Posted at 12:00 PM EST.

8:10 PM EST. Christian Bergman was a 24th round pick in 2010 and has only appeared in 62 games at this level in his career with only 21 of those being of the starting variety. Bergman is not a flamethrower or dominant pitcher. Rather, he is more or less a finesse righty with good command of an average pitch mix. The attribute that sets him apart is his ability to locate all four of his offerings. His fastball only sits between 86-91 mph, but he sequences his pitches to the point where his fastball appears quicker than it is. His best pitch is a change-up that features late movement and keeps hitters guessing. Don't expect much in the way of strikeouts, but he can eat innings, keep walks to a minimum, and induce some grounders. In 38 innings this season over six starts and one relief appearance, Bergman has a BB/K split of 12/26 with an ERA/xERA split of 4.02/4.47. His chances of getting whacked here are good but we’re not going to worry about that. Seattle has a hot offense, the better bullpen and there are few pitchers in this league that we would not back when taking back a price against Kyle Gibson.

Kyle Gibson’s last start was in Seattle. He went six full in that start and allowed just five hits and one run. The Twinkies won that game 2-1 and now Gibson will face that same team again. We promise different results this time. We don’t promise a Mariners victory but we can almost guarantee with certainty that Kyle Gibson has two chances of throwing a good game here---slim and none and slim just left the ballpark. Gibson has never been able to build on his promise. Read any publication prior to the start of any season and you’ll likely find Gibson in there as a breakout target only it never happens and it’s getting worse. Well, we’re DONE chilling with the band. Gibson is what he is, which is a weak pitcher that throws 91 MPH fastballs right down the middle. In 48 painful innings this season, Gibson has walked 26 and struck out 35. His WHIP is 1.82 so he’s always pitching in and out of trouble. Gibson is a nibbler that rarely puts away batters when he has them in favorable counts. With a 6.52/5.93 ERA/xERA split, it’s time to stop speculating on this pure stiff and just fade him every time he takes the hill, especially at home.

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Our Pick

Seattle +111 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.22)

Washington +128 over Houston
Kansas City +122 over Baltimore
Milwaukee -1½ +144 over St. Louis
San Diego -103 over Toronto