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Posted at 11:00 AM EST.

10:10 PM EST. Marcus Stroman has good year-to-date numbers, but his skills have tailed off recently. Stroman hasn't thrown a pure quality start since April. He has handled left-handed hitters consistently all year though and that skill could help him today against the middle of the Seattle lineup. Still, the Mariners' offensive rating is sky high at the moment and so is their form so this is a challenging matchup for Stroman. While his skills have been good, his swinging strike rate has reverted to its pre-'16 norms (9.1% swing and miss rate) and he's not attacking the strike zone very well (56% first-pitch strike rate, 35% ball %). In spite of his extreme groundball profile, Stroman's chances of a breakout won't be great until he can miss more bats and also get batters to swing at stuff outside the zone.

Ariel Miranda is 6-2 with a 3.74 ERA after a dozen starts. He has a BB/K split of 24/61 over 67 frames but his solid 65% first-pitch strike rate suggests better control is forthcoming. This is a talented young pitcher that is gaining more confidence with each passing start. His WHIP is declining and is now down from 1.29 over his first six starts to 1.17 after 12 starts. Miranda has a BB/K split of 13/31 over his last 31 innings with an elite 16% swing and miss rate. After missing all of the 2014 season because of his defection from Cuba and spending 2015 in the minors, Ariel Miranda finally made his major league debut in July of 2016, finishing with a 3.88 ERA over 58 innings. A month short of one-year later and this kid is showing positive signs across the board including the intangible ones like confidence, maturity and poise. Indeed they’ll be some growing pains along the way but he has the talent and as a dog at home, Miranda and the Mariners offer up great value.

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