Oakland @ TAMPA BAY
Oakland +116 over TAMPA BAY

BEST LINES: Pinnacle  +115 Bet365  +115 SportsInteraction  +110 5DIMES  +110

Posted at 11:15 AM EST.

7:10 PM EST. Alex Cobb just might be getting pushed a little too hard. This is a pitcher that threw just 22 innings all of last year after missing the entire 2015 season because of TJS. Just to recap quickly, prior to this season, Cobb had thrown just 22 innings combined in the previous two seasons. This year, Cobb has already thrown 72 frames. In four of his last five starts, he has thrown 107, 115, 106 and 102 pitches. In his last start, he was tagged for 14 hits and nine earned runs in five innings over 96 pitches before he was mercilessly yanked. Two starts ago, Cobb again lasted just five innings. It would appear to us that Cobb is tiring. Over his last five starts, he has an unacceptable WHIP of 1.50, a .302 BAA and a ERA/xERA split of 5.87/4.82.

You might recall last week when the oddsmakers had Andrew Triggs a small dog at home to the Nationals with Stephen Strasburg starting. Triggs did not fair well that game (3.2 IP - 9H - 6ER) but that’s not the point. The point is that the oddsmakers liked his chances against Washington and Strasburg. If we played Triggs in that matchup against Strasburg, we can surely play him at almost the exact same price against Tampa Bay with Alex Cobb starting. Triggs made his MLB debut last season and it was anything but impressive. However, this unheralded prospect dealt with calf and back issues. His K-rate and groundball % fuelled a skill set that exploded in the 2nd half last year and has shown glimpses of the same this year. With a rotation gig now set in stone for the time being, Triggs is a shiny object at the dollar store and if we’re sticking to playing value, this one must be played because we’re getting the same price on Triggs v Cobb as we got with Triggs v Strasburg.

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.



Our Pick

Oakland +116 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.32)

San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110