Today's Free Picks for
BEST LINES: Pinnacle +123 Bet365 +125 SportsInteraction +115 5DIMES +120
Posted at 11:00 AM EST.
2:10 PM EST. Zach Davies is a consistent strike-thrower with a strong groundball lean (56%) with not much of a platoon split and few disaster starts over the past two years. His marginal swing and miss rate likely caps his K rate and his xERA shows, the "low ceiling, high floor" label does seem to fit here. However, there is value in that predictability. Davies is a risk when favored but he has profit potential as a pooch.
Kenta Maeda is an iffy proposition for this road start in Milwaukee. Maeda’s fly-ball tendencies play into a big positive in the Milwaukee splits (.855 OPS vs. fly-ball pitchers), and the Dodger right-hander is coming off back-to-back shaky starts. The Brewers have an excellent aggregate line against the slider, an important pitch in the Maeda arsenal. Most importantly, the Dodgers are overpriced here in a big way.
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Our Pick
MILWAUKEE +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)