BEST LINES: Pinnacle -102 Bet365 -110 SportsInteraction -105 5DIMES -110

Posted at 11:00 AM EST.

12:35 PM EST. Pittsburgh is 24-29 and in dead last in the NL East. Arizona is 32-22 and own one of the best records in baseball. In five starts, Zach Godley is 1-1 with a 1.99 ERA and over his last three starts covering 19.2 innings, he has posted an ERA of 1.83. Meanwhile, Chad Kuhl has one win in 10 starts to go along with an ERA of 6.29. At home, Kuhl is 1-3 with an ERA of 8.61. Over his last three starts, Kuhl is 0-2 in 13 innings with an ERA of 7.43. You see where we are going here? Arizona looks like the play of the day. They are a dog when in fact, everything points to them rolling over the Pirates. If the D-Backs don’t set up to be the sucker play of the day, then we have no idea what would. Buyer beware is how this one must be labeled. What we know for sure is that the oddsmakers are gambling that the Pirates are going to win here and when we can get on their side, you can usually pencil us in.

We’ll spare you the details on Godley because it’s not relevant here. What’s relevant is that Chad Kuhl is so much better than his surface stats suggest but most of the market has no idea just how good he is. Chad Kuhl has torpedoed some bankrolls already (6.29 ERA, 1.66 WHIP) so we’re pretty sure not many are anxious to get behind him again and potentially rip up their ticket again. However, those results have been inflated by a 38% hit rate and 60% strand rate. He is throwing in the mid-90s and owns a very attractive 13% swing and miss rate, which confirms that he has the stuff to turn things around. With great control and an overall solid skills foundation, Kuhl is in line for a great game here. The line says so.

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.