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Posted at 12:00 PM EST.

10:05 PM EST. Jamie Garcia is a 4.00 ERA pitcher and may never be better than that again. He’s a groundball specialist, which is more than enough ammo to back him here. You see, this wager is not about Garcia, it’s about fading a starter that is hanging by a thread.

There are a few starters this year that we’ve targeted to fade every time they take the hill when favored and Matt Cain has to be on that list. Cain has a BB/K split of 14/18 over his last 25 innings. In his last start, he walked three and struck out one. His swing and miss rate is down to 6% on the year and was 4% in his last two starts. His ERA is 4.91 but his xERA of 6.96 is one of three worst xERA’s in the league among qualified starters. As soon as the Giants get some capable arms back, a role change is in order for Cain. He’s headed to the pen at some point for sure. Last year, he was simply awful again with three more DL stints tossed in for good measure. Matt Cain has zero good skills left and if he and the Giants beat us here, good for them but we have to go with the best of it and let the chips fall where they may.

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