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Posted at 12:00 PM EST.

8:10 PM EST. The Diamondbacks have won four in a row and nine of 10 while the Brewers have dropped four in a row so we have the hot versus cold angle working in our favor. The Brewers are suddenly struggling after a decent start and one could attribute their struggles to their weakening pitching staff.

Junior Guerra gets this start after being sidelined since leaving his Opening Day start after three innings with a calf strain. He has made two starts on a minor league rehab assignment, pitching into the seventh inning in his most recent start in Triple-A. Guerra will fill the rotation vacancy created when Milwaukee relegated Wily Peralta to the bullpen after making eight largely ineffective starts. Peralta averaged only five innings per start as his relatively poor control and inability to keep the ball in the park proved a flammable mix. Chase Anderson, originally slated for long relief work during spring training, yet forced into the rotation by injuries to other Milwaukee starters, will remain in the rotation.

Guerra went 9-3 with a 2.81 ERA in 122 innings for the Crew last year. This converted infielder spent years in the minors, independent ball, Mexico and Italy before dropping this surprise on everyone. But that's the thing; there's a reason no one expected this and his skills agree. Guerra’s MLB xERA was 4.18 and his command fell in the 2nd half. Therefore our mantra when looking at Guerra will be to look away from that ERA. Zack Godley is another under-the-radar starter worth targeting. Check out his strong skill base during his last four starts last year and first four starts this year: 8.3 K’s/9, 2.4 BB’s/9, and a 56% groundball rate. That elite groundball rate is up to 65% this year with a low 13% line-drive rate. Godley has been especially effective against RH bats and his excellent 13% swing and miss rat gives his current K-rate plenty more upside. Godley is major-league ready and he’s starting to thrive.

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