BEST LINES: Pinnacle +123 Bet365 +115 SportsInteraction +125 5DIMES +120

Posted at 11:00 AM EST.

10:05 PM EST. Jose Urena is an unsolved mystery. Here’s a guy that has never had success at this level over 57 career appearances since 2015 with 24 of those 57 appearances being starts. Urena’s career ERA is 5.05 and his career xERA is 4.92. The 6'3", 195-pound, right-handed Urena is just 25 years-old and has two plus pitches in his 97-mph fastball and a solid changeup. He has been working on developing his breaking ball and it shows potential but that’s the main problem here. Two pitch-pitchers rarely have success at this level. If that third pitch is working and Urena isn’t afraid to throw it, things may happen for him quickly. Urena shows excellent control and has never had excessive home run rates so at this park against the A’s, a strong outing could be in the cards but we’re more interested in backing an undervalued Miami team than we are any of their starters.

The Marlins are loaded with talent but come in with a 15-28 record, which is the worst record in baseball. How can that be? There’s boundless upside in the outfield with the trio of Christian Yelich, Marcell Ozuna, and Glencarlo Stanton. There’s speed at the top of the order with Dee Gordon. Justin Bour and Stanton in the middle of that lineup are as good as any one-two punch in the game. Bour has 11 jacks already and so does Stanton. On the road, both are hitting in the .280 range. The Fish are much better than a 15-win team and this is a great place for them to get off the mattress.

Jesse Hahn’s 3.02 ERA after seven starts and one relief appearance over 48 innings is going to draw some attention here, especially against the bottom feeding Marlins but we’re not buyers. Hahn has never had this type of success over an extended period of time and we’re also seeing a steep drop in his command. Hahn’s 52% first-pitch strike rate over his last three starts is down from 57% over his first four. This is a starter that went 2-4 with a 6.02 ERA in 46 innings last year. His xERA this year is 4.55. He chose not to have a second TJS after forearm and elbow pain in 2015, but looking at these skills, one can't help but wonder if that was a mistake. And if that's not the explanation, then his declining command and rising xERA are even more alarming. Either way, the best bet is to sell his stock immediately, which is precisely what we’re doing here.

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.