Toronto @ BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE -1½ +135 over Toronto

BEST LINES: Pinnacle -1½ +135 Bet365 -1½ +130 SportsInteraction -1½ +120 5DIMES -1½ +130

Posted at 9:40 AM EST.

7:35 PM EST. There are a few starters in this league that we are going to fade every time out because there figures to be nothing but profit in doing so. Mike Bolsinger is one of those guys. The Blue Jays got 152 starts from their top five starting pitchers in 2016 and midseason acquisition Francisco Liriano picked up eight more, so the concept of a sixth starter was foreign to the Jays prior to the start of this year. Enter Mat Latos, who auditioned for a swing starter/long relief role along with other recent additions Michael Bolsinger, Lucas Harrell, and Brett Oberholzer. Latos last returned positive value in 2014 and after three disaster starts with the Jays this year he was sent down and may never be heard from again. As for the other three competitors, only Obertholzer's 4.49 ERA in 2016 (and none of the three's WHIPs) beat Latos' showing. The point here is that Mat Latos beat out Mike Bolsinger for a spot in the rotation when one opened up. That’s how bad Bolsinger is. Bolsinger’s control is awful with six walks in 10 innings and his fastball tops off at 88.9 MPH. Bolsinger is pitching at this level not because he’s serviceable but because the Blue Jays need bodies right now and Bolsinger gets the call by process of elimination.

Kevin Gausman still carries solid breakout potential given the growth he showed last year and his excellent raw stuff. However, his 7.19 ERA and 1.86 WHIP has Gausman’s price deflated here. Gausman’s skills have not been good but it's too early to give up on him with that breakout potential. Some minor tweaks are needed or he’s holding back an injury but we assure you he’s better than this. If Gausman gets blown up here, Buck Showalter will get him out quickly but there’s also a really good chance of him throwing a gem while there is no chance of Bolsinger throwing a gem. The Bolsinger fade continues. 

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Our Pick

BALTIMORE -1½ +135 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.70)

Kansas City +108 over Toronto
Seattle -1½ +150 over Texas