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Arizona @ SAN DIEGO
Arizona -1 +121 over SAN DIEGO

BEST LINES: Pinnacle -1½ +121 Bet365 -1½ +115 SportsInteraction -1½ +110 5DIMES -1½ +115

Posted at 12:30 PM EST.

10:10 PM EST. Taijuan Walker’s stuff is getting filthier by the week. Here’s a guy with a 73% groundball rate over his past two starts and that has an outstanding 15/43 BB/K split over 46 innings. Walker always had potential but he spent this past offseason adjusting his pitching mechanics to gain more deception and to work on his sinker. That sinker is playing a major role in his progress and is now a key pitch in his arsenal. That said, our fade against Jered Weaver will remain intact until dude hangs up his cleats.

Weaver’s ERA is 6.05 after eight starts. Over his past three starts covering 13 innings, Weaver has been tagged for 21 hits and 18 runs. He’s surrendered two jacks or more in all of his starts this year but two and the Padres are 0-8 in his eight starts. Since 2010, as his fastball velocity slid from 90 to its current 82 MPH, his xERA rose from 3.46 to the nightmare he posted last year and continues to post this year. Weaver has 23 K’s in 42 innings with a 4% swing and miss rate. He had his best game of the year last time out when he allowed just one run over six innings against the South Side but his line drive rate was 38% that day, which means everything was hit hard but right at folks. At the end of the day, Weaver must be faded because he remains one of the top three most hittable and useless starters in the game. Oh, the Padres aren’t very good either. 

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Our Pick

Arizona -1 +121 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)

 

 

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