San Diego @ CHICAGO
CHICAGO -1½ +104 over San Diego

BEST LINES: Pinnacle -1½ +104 Bet365 -1½ +100 SportsInteraction -1½ +105 5DIMES -1½ +102 

Posted at 9:40 AM EST. 

2:15 PM EST. Jose Quintana is the South Side's proficient, easily-projected lefty. He continues to throw strikes with just enough swing-and-miss stuff and with little regard to batters' handedness or batted ball outcomes. Quintana has a BB/K split of 19/41 in 42 frames to go along with an identical ERA/xERA split of 4.46. It’s not great but he’s had four starts out of seven in which he’s allowed three runs or less in six innings or more.  While this may be as good as it gets for him, we don’t need him to be great here. All we need is for Quintana to be his usual reliable and boring self, as this one is all about fading Jered Weaver.

Weaver’s ERA is 6.81 after seven starts. Over his past two starts covering seven innings, Weaver has been tagged for 16 hits and 17 runs. He’s surrendered two jacks or more in all of his starts this year but one and the Padres are 0-7 in his seven starts. Since 2010, as his fastball velocity slid from 90 to its current 82 MPH, his xERA rose from 3.46 to the nightmare he posted last year and continues to post this year. When you throw that slowly with so many fly balls, giving up the 15 bombs in 35 innings that Weaver has given up this year seems inevitable. It's never good when your ERA could be a Boeing aircraft model. Of course, it'd be helpful if he would miss a bat now and again but he doesn’t. Weaver is batting practice out there. His home park is irrelevant and so is he. Weaver will get hit in the mountains, to the prairies, to the oceans, white... well, you get the idea. Fade until he fades away. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.



Our Pick

CHICAGO -1½ +104 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.08)

Kansas City +108 over Toronto
Seattle -1½ +150 over Texas