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Posted at 11:15 AM EST.

10:05 PM EST. These two played a three-game set last weekend in Cincinnati and the Reds outscored the Giants, 32-5 in the three-game sweep. Boy oh boy do the Giants ever have revenge on their minds. While the Reds will find out that scoring runs will be much harder to come by in this park than they were in Cincinnati, the same applies to the Giants and they scored five. The Giants have lost five of six and now have the worst winning percentage in the major leagues.

One of the pitching matchups last weekend was Bronson Arroyo against Ty Blach and we singled out Blach as a fade target. The Reds would score 10 runs in the first two innings on Blach before Bruce Bochy mercilessly yanked him. The market is giving Blach a pass because it was just one game in which anything can happen and Blach has a 1.26 ERA at home after two starts. We’re suggesting his chances of giving up something crooked again are far greater than his chances of throwing a good game. In 21 innings this year, this stiff has struck out five batters while walking seven. His K-rate is the lowest in the majors and it has the full support of his horrible 3% swing and miss rate. If Blach had a strong groundball rate, we could somewhat endorse giving up K’s for groundouts but that’s not the case either. His 37% groundball rate is well below league average. Blach’s xERA is 10.80 and if he and the Giants go on to win this game, good for them but there is no chance of us refusing a tag against the least skilled pitcher in MLB. It matters not that Arroyo is starting for the Reds. 

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