BEST LINES: Pinnacle -109 Bet365 -115 SportsInteraction -115 5DIMES -110

Posted at 11:00 AM EST.

 7:10 PM EST. Lots to like about the Mariners here. First, Seattle is 6-4 over its last 10 while the Phillies are 2-8. Secondly, the Mariners are 10-5 at home but just 5-12 on the road so a correction to the good in their road record is likely forthcoming. Furthermore, the M’s have hit 34 jacks this year and 31 of those have come against right-handed pitchers. They’ll face a right-hander here in Jerad Eickhoff. Eickhoff had a solid rookie season last year but there are reasons for concern. He had strong command but his first-pitch strike rate suggested it would not last. In 36 innings this year, Eickhoff has a BB/K split of 13/33 but a 54% first-pitch strike rate and low 8% swing and miss rate strongly suggest he’s playing with fire. Eickhoff’s severe issues versus lefties persisted all of last year and it is continuing this year. His fly-ball rate jumped in the 2nd half of last year, which puts him at risk for HR’s and at whims of hr/f. Eickhoff is worth keeping an eye on when being offered a price on the road but there is not much upside to his game right now.

Eickhoff had a solid rookie season last year but there are reasons for concern. He had strong command but his first-pitch strike rate suggested it would not last. In 36 innings this year, Eickhoff has a BB/K split of 13/33 but a 54% first-pitch strike rate and low 8% swing and miss rate strongly suggest he’s playing with fire. Eickhoff’s severe issues versus lefties persisted all of last year and it is continuing this year. His fly-ball rate jumped in the 2nd half of last year, which puts him at risk for HR’s and at whims of hr/f. Eickhoff is worth keeping an eye on when being offered a price on the road but there is not much upside to his game right now.

Then there’s Ariel Miranda. After missing all of the 2014 season because of his defection from Cuba and spending 2015 in the minors, Miranda finally made his major league debut in July of 2016 and finished with a 3.88 ERA over 58 innings. This year, Miranda was originally optioned to Triple-A near the end of spring training, and only made it back into the rotation because of an injury to Drew Smyly, so the Mariners don't seem to have a high level of confidence in him either. We do because the numbers say so. Miranda has a BB/K split of 8/29 in 33 innings. His groundball rate last year was just 34% but this year, it’s a complete turnaround with a 51% rate and 59% in his last start. Miranda is trending strongly the right way. These Cuban pitchers have a history of being resilient and getting better each and every year until they peak. Miranda fits that pattern and we’re going to keep him high on our radar for now.

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.