Chicago @ BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE/Chicago over 8½ -120

BEST LINES: Pinnacle o8½ -120 Bet365 o8½ -125 SportsInteraction o8½ -130 5DIMES o8½ -120

Posted at 5:30 PM EST. 

7:35 PM EST. We’re committed to playing one baseball total daily for the remainder of the year and if it works out, we’ll start posting more but today we find two totals worth playing. We’re studying weather conditions and how it affects the flight of the baseball. The effect of humidity on air density is very slight and is actually opposite what it is commonly purported to be. The common reputation of humidity is that it is heavy; however, this is a misnomer. Humidity is actually light for a projectile to fly through because there is more hydrogen in humid air than in dry air, which contains a larger percentage of nitrogen. And, of course, nitrogen is heavier than hydrogen.

There is a scale that takes into account humidity, as well as temperature and elevation-related barometric pressure that gives us an Air Density Index reading at every ballpark or zip code and the reading today at Camden Yards is 63.43, which is the lowest reading this season at this park. The average reading at Camden Yards is 68.00 and there are games plenty of examples of games sailing over the number (too many to mention here) when the reading is in the 64 to 65 range. This Air Density reading is extremely low and suggests balls should be flying out of Camden Yards today.Keep in mind that Coors Field Air Density Index reading is generally in the low 50’s while almost all other parks are between 60 and 80.

Keep in mind that Coors Field Air Density Index reading is generally in the low 50’s while almost all other parks are between 60 and 80. Also, keep in mind that low Air Density Index means high scoring and a high reading means low scoring. This is a low reading when compared to other readings at Great American Ballpark

Please keep in mind that we’re still experimenting with these readings when applying them to baseball totals. We’re fine tuning it as we go along but we’ve put in the work and have a clear understanding of how this all works.

Other very favorable readings today are at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Citizen’s Bank Park in Philly and Kaufmann Stadium in Kansas City for all those games to go over the total. In order the most favorable are:

 

Baltimore

Pittsburgh

Kansas City

Philadelphia 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.



Our Pick

BALTIMORE/Chicago over 8½ -120 (Risking 2.4 units - To Win: 2.00)

San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110