Chicago @ BALTIMORE
Chicago +149 over BALTIMORE

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +149 Bet365 +145 SportsInteraction +150 5DIMES +148

Posted at 12:50 PM EST. 

After an extremely emotional and intense four-game set with the Red Sox, the Orioles return home to play a less important weekend set with the South Side and it may take a day or two to get their mojo back or their intensity higher. Meanwhile, the White Sox continue to win more games than they lose and are bringing intensity to every game. They’ve been a live dog all season so far and they’re still underpriced. While we’re not high on Miguel Gonzalez (RHP), he’s giving the South Side a chance to win when he takes the hill so we’re not going to focus in on his flaws. The price here is sweet and this one is more about fading the O’s/Miley combo.  

Enter Wade Miley (LHP) and his 2.32 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 38 K’s in 31 innings. Miley is 30 years old and has never shown numbers like this in the past nor a strikeout rate this high. What gives? Well, there’s a distinct difference in Miley’s pitch selection this year, ramping his sinker way up and all but abandoning his change. His slider and curve are both accumulating whiffs and grounders, and his bolstered sinker is killing worms as well. That said, his stock has never been higher and we’ll let others pay for five weeks of greatness while we pay attention to seven years of mediocrity. Miley went 13 ineffective spring training innings by allowing 21 hits and eight earned runs. Aside from July of last year, his bottom line was awful again. When a pitcher comes in and does “new” things, the adjustment period by batters is usually swift. Miley walked five batters in his last start in five innings and has now issued 19 BB's in 32 innings. His 10% swing and miss rate does not support 38 K’s in 32 innings but once again, surface stats will influence the price.  

NOTE: We are still committed to playing one baseball total daily and will have today's posted sometime around 5:30 PM EST.

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.



Our Pick

Chicago +149 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.98)

Arizona -101 over St. Louis