Chicago @ KANSAS CITY
Chicago/KANSAS CITY under 7½ -113

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +111 Bet365 +105 SportsInteraction +110 5DIMES +110

Posted at 10:45 AM EST. 

2:15 PM EST. We’re committed to playing one baseball total daily for the remainder of the year and if it works out, we’ll start posting more but with afternoon games today, we’ll play one during the day and one at night. We’re studying weather conditions and how it affects the flight of the baseball. The effect of humidity on air density is very slight and is actually opposite what it is commonly purported to be. The common reputation of humidity is that it is heavy; however, this is a misnomer. Humidity is actually light for a projectile to fly through because there is more hydrogen in humid air than in dry air, which contains a larger percentage of nitrogen. And, of course, nitrogen is heavier than hydrogen.

There is a scale that takes into account humidity, as well as temperature and elevation-related barometric pressure that gives us an Air Density Index reading at every ballpark or zip code and the reading today at Kaufmann Stadium is 73.41. That’s an extremely high reading. Aside from K.C’s weak offense, the field itself is symmetrical (330 in the corners, 387 in the alleys and 410 to dead center) with large foul areas so it’s a pitcher’s park to begin with. Yesterday’s reading at this park was 65.17 and the score was 0-0 going into the sixth inning before ending up 6-1. Day games are also generally lower scoring than night games and it’s also worth noting that one or two everyday players get a day off when a day game follows a night gameKeep in mind that Coors Field Air Density Index reading is generally in the low 50’s while almost all other parks are between 60 and 80. Also, keep in mind that low Air Density Index means high scoring and a high reading means low scoring. This is a low reading when compared to other readings at Great American Ballpark

Keep in mind that Coors Field Air Density Index reading is generally in the low 50’s while almost all other parks are between 60 and 80. Also, keep in mind that low Air Density Index means high scoring and a high reading means low scoring. This is a low reading when compared to other readings at Great American Ballpark

Please keep in mind that we’re still experimenting with these readings when applying them to baseball totals. We’re fine tuning it as we go along but we’ve put in the work and have a clear understanding of how this all works. For today, it appears as though the air is heavy throughout the Midwest and East Coast so over players beware. 

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Our Pick

Chicago/KANSAS CITY under 7½ -113 (Risking 2.26 units - To Win: 2.00)

Detroit +103 over Tampa Bay
Seattle +107 over Texas