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Posted at 10:45 AM EST. 

7:10 PM EST. Matt Andriese (RHP) may be the better starter here but if so, it is slight. Andriese has put up average numbers across the board with a BB/K split of 10/22 in 28 frames, a 10% swing and miss rate, a 46%/33% groundball/fly-ball split and an xERA of 4.31. In his last start, Andriese went seven full against the Blue Jays and only allowed five hits and three runs but he also only struck out four batters so the randomness of balls in play served him well.

Dan Straily (RHP) found surprising success in the second half of last year when he made strides with his first-pitch strike rate and control. Straily owns a 4.15 ERA after 26 innings but he's someone who is pitching better than his ERA might indicate. His skills have been good. His command sub-indicators have been even better: 12.2% swing and miss rate, 64% first-pitch strike rate. Straily’s only issue is that lefties hit him well and if he can clean that up, he’s going to be a front-line starter. The Rays will likely have four left-handed bats in the lineup today in Corey Dickerson, Logan Morrison, Kevin Kiermaier and Brad Miller. Thus, even if we give the Rays an edge on the hill, it means little because they have no advantages anywhere else.

The Marlins offense is much more dangerous. The Fish also have the superior bullpen and defense. After losing two to the Rays back in Miami on Monday and Tuesday, the Marlins returned the favor last night with a 10-6 victory. We now get them at a price in a better than 50/50 proposition and that’s a bet we’re always interested in making.   

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