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Posted at 5:40 PM EST. 

7:35 PM EST. We’re committed to playing one baseball total daily for the remainder of the year and if it works out, we’ll start posting more but today we find two totals worth playing. We’re studying weather conditions and how it affects the flight of the baseball. The effect of humidity on air density is very slight and is actually opposite what it is commonly purported to be. The common reputation of humidity is that it is heavy; however, this is a misnomer. Humidity is actually light for a projectile to fly through, because there is more hydrogen in humid air than in dry air, which contains a larger percentage of nitrogen. And, of course, nitrogen is heavier than hydrogen.

There is a scale that takes into account humidity, as well as temperature and elevation-related barometric pressure that gives us an Air Density Index reading at every ballpark or zip code and the reading today at Sun Trust Park is 59.00. That’s an extremely low reading. Runs are being scored at this park in bunches to begin with and the odds makers have not made thew right adjustments yet. The past two nights in Atlanta, there have been 16 and 12 runs scored respectively and both days the Air Density readings were higher than today’s reading. This looks like it could be an extreme hitter’s park and when you throw in the very low Air Density Index reading, this over play looks very strong.  

Keep in mind that Coors Field Air Density Index reading is generally in the low 50’s while almost all other parks are between 60 and 80. Also keep in mind that low Air Density Index means high scoring and a high reading means low scoring. This is a low reading when compared to other readings at Great American Ballpark

Please keep in mind that we’re still experimenting with these readings when applying them to baseball totals. We’re fine tuning it as we go along but we’ve put in the work and have a clear understanding of how this all works.

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