Today's Free Picks for
BEST LINES: Pinnacle o8½ -120 Bet365 o8½ -125 SportsInteraction o8½ -125 WilliamHill o8½ -120
Posted at 5:30 PM EST.
7:10 PM EST. We’re committed to playing one baseball total daily for the remainder of the year and if it works out, we’ll start posting more. We’re studying weather conditions and how it affects the flight of the baseball. The effect of humidity on air density is very slight and is actually opposite what it is commonly purported to be. The common reputation of humidity is that it is heavy; however, this is a misnomer. Humidity is actually light for a projectile to fly through, because there is more hydrogen in humid air than in dry air, which contains a larger percentage of nitrogen. And, of course, nitrogen is heavier than hydrogen.
There is a scale that takes into account humidity, as well as temperature and elevation-related barometric pressure that gives us an Air Density Index reading at every ballpark or zip code and the reading today at Great American Ballpark is 64.21. The last time it was this low was when the Cubbies were in town on April 22 and the final score was 12-8. Of the 23 hits that day, six balls left the yard and one of the victim pitchers was Jake Arietta. Today, there are two starters going that have both shown a propensity for issuing base on balls and both these teams are well disciplined at the dish. Expect lots of baserunners and subsequently plenty of runs to send this one over the number.
Keep in mind that Coors Field Air Density Index reading is generally in the low 50’s while almost all other parks are between 60 and 80. Also keep in mind that low Air Density Index means high scoring and a high reading means low scoring. This is a low reading when compared to other readings at Great American Ballpark
Please keep in mind that we’re still experimenting with these readings when applying them to baseball totals. We’re fine tuning it as we go along but we’ve put in the work and have a clear understanding of how this all works.
San Diego/Colorado, Atlanta/NY Mets and Boston/Baltimore all look like pretty decent overs too but this looks like the best total of the day.
Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
Our Pick
Pittsburgh/CINCI over 8½ -115 (Risking 2.4 units - To Win: 2.00)