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Posted at 12:30 PM EST. 

7:10 PM EST. We like the Marlins. This is a team with power, speed and several very good hitters. When the Marlins are taking back a price, they are going to be the first team we look at daily because some great profits are in store. However, what they don’t have is starting pitching and so we’re not about to pass up a price like this against Wei-Yin Chen (LHP).

Chen has 13 K’s in 21 frames with a 9% swing and miss rate. He has a 4.71 ERA, a 4.68 xERA, a 1.24 WHIP and a groundball/fly-ball split of 35%/43%. There is nothing in Chen’s profile that suggests spotting a price with him is a good idea. Things got so bad for him last year that he moved into the pen for two months. Beset by gopheritis (giving up jacks) once again, and with his middling swing and miss rate and low groundball%, this is a package we want no part of as the chalk. If Miami wins, good for them but in terms of value, Chen must be faded when priced in this range.

Jake Odorizzi is not much better but he’s not the one spotting a price here. If he were, we would be on the Marlins. Odorizzi’s fly-ball rate is up another tick this year. HR’s were persistent last year and the damage inflicted by RHBs appears to be on the upswing. Yet despite his unimpressive dominant start/disaster start split, Odorizzi still managed to retain a sub-4 ERA last season while eating innings and racking up wins and K’s. In three starts this year covering 13 innings, all of his numbers are better than Chen’s. Control and an upper hand versus lefties keep Odorizzi's head above water and we’ll bank on him keeping the Rays in it here.

NOTE: We are still committed to playing one baseball total daily and will have today's posted sometime around 5:30 PM EST.

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