BEST LINES: Pinnacle o8 -117 Bet365 o7½ -130 SportsInteraction o8 -120 WilliamHill 7¼ -125

Posted at 5:30 PM EST. 

9:10 PM EST. We’re committed to playing one baseball total daily for the remainder of the year and if it works out, we’ll start posting more. We’re studying weather conditions and how it affects the flight of the baseball. The effect of humidity on air density is very slight and is actually opposite what it is commonly purported to be. The common reputation of humidity is that it is heavy; however, this is a misnomer. Humidity is actually light for a projectile to fly through, because there is more hydrogen in humid air than in dry air, which contains a larger percentage of nitrogen. And, of course, nitrogen is heavier than hydrogen.

There is a scale that takes into account humidity, as well as temperature and elevation-related barometric pressure that gives us an Air Density Index reading at every ballpark or zip code and the reading today at Chavez Ravine is 61.44. We generally see readings at this park in the high 60’s to low 70’s but not today.

Keep in mind that Coors Field is generally in the low 50’s while almost all other parks are between 60 and 80. Also keep in mind that low Air Density Index means high scoring and a high reading means low scoring. This is a low reading and the wind is blowing out to right centre too. Dodgers Stadium is known as a pitcher’s park and that’s because it is. However, from time to time you get a high scoring game there and that occurs when the Air Density Index is low. The last time it was this low was on opening day in L.A. when the Dodgers beat San Diego 14-3 with Clayton Kershaw on the hill. We find a steal of a total on a number that should be higher but it’s not because numbers are seldom high at this park. Lastly, Pinnacle Sports has this number at o8 -117 while BET365 has it at o7½ -130 so that’s where we’re playing it.  

Yesterday we wrote that our research suggested there was going to be a whole lot of scoring last night and runs were plentiful right across the board. Please keep in mind that we’re still experimenting with these readings when applying them to baseball totals. We’re fine tuning as we go along but we’ve put in the work and have a clear understanding of how this all works. This looks like the best total of the night games. 

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