Colorado @ ARIZONA
Colorado -1½ +200 over ARIZONA

BEST LINES: Pinnacle -1½ +186 Bet365 -1½ +200 SportsInteraction N/A  WilliamHill -1½ +190

Posted at 11:30 AM EST. 

8:10 PM EST. Arizona is at home, where they sport an 11-4 record. Zack Greinke has popularity, pedigree and some of the best numbers over the years among starting pitchers that puts him in the same company as guys like Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, Chris Sale, Dallas Keuchel, Jake Arietta and others. This season, Greinke has 31 K’s in 31 innings with a 2.93 ERA so it’s not like he’s off to a rough start. Why then is Zack Greinke and the D-Backs only -130 here? If Scherzer, Sale or Keuchel were at home and facing the Rockies, they would all be -170 or more. We’re not even going to attempt to break down the numbers here because it matters not. Being able to recognize something that looks off is part of our handicapping process and this one reeks of that.

What we know for sure is that Chase Field is a massive hitter’s park that ranks second to Coors Field in runs scored. Thus, instead of playing the Rockies at +120, we’re going for the kill here because the line says that the odds makers are pretty sure that Colorado is going to win. If they are that sure, it’s likely not going to be decided by one run, as this venue does not deliver its fair share of one-run games. This is strictly a case of playing the numbers and so we’re spotting 1½-runs with the Rocks on the Alternate Run Line. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks. 



Our Pick

Colorado -1½ +200 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.00)

Baltimore -1½ +124 over L.A. Angels
San Francisco +100 over San Diego
Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay
Washington +135 over Cincinnati
San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110