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Posted at 12:30 PM EST.

7:00 PM EST. The Bombers might be 3-2 but they are a play or two away from being 0-5. Winnipeg had no business beating the Alouettes at home last week but it was able to rally from 12-points down with just a minute to go to win the game. In-game variance was on full display last week and it all worked in Winnipeg’s favor. So many things had to go right for the Bombers in the waning moments of that contest, including recovering an onside kick. The comeback played out in front of an empty stadium, as even the Bomber faithful didn't think their team had a chance to win it late. The Bombers biggest weakness is their defense which has allowed 35.8 points per game this season. The Bombers have also given up 40 or more points three times this season including both of their road games. Lastly, Winnipeg outgained Saskatchewan by 24 yards in their season opener but has been outgained in every game since with three of those four being by a wide margin. The Bombers luck can’t hold up and there’s also the emotional letdown of a miracle win last week. Unlike the Bombers, Ottawa has been in every game they've played this season and easily could be 6-0 instead of 1-4-1. The Redblacks' margin of defeat is 9-points spread across those four losses. Let's not forget that two of their games came against the mighty Stampeders, who look to be off to the races after back to back blowout wins. Ottawa went 1-0-1 against Calgary and gave the Stamps all they could handle on the road at McMahon Stadium in Week 2. It's also easy to forget that before their bye last week, the Redblacks finished up a brutal stretch of the schedule that saw them play three games in just 11 days. We aren't always keen on a team coming off a bye but the Redblacks needed the rest. They've played so well, but have little to show for it. Quarterback Trevor Harris is completing over 70% of his passes and has 12 touchdowns to just three inceptions but the last time we saw him, he cost the Redblacks the game with a late pick against the Argos. Again, that loss to Toronto that was another case of bad luck, was Ottawa’s third game in 11 days. This is now a rested, healthy and superior t4eam spotting a short price at home against the CFL’s most misleading team. A correction is likely coming in the W/L column for both teams here so we’re going to get behind that likely correction. You should too.

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